UPDATED KPVD WIND ROSES By Winn Soldani It’s always good to have an adult in the room, and our good friend, Chris Bedford, noted something in my write up of KPVD yesterday and I thought I would share his insight with everyone. The wind roses that we used below were from all the way backContinue reading

KPVD CLIMATOLOGY

By:  Winn Soldani Welcome to week two of the CYC Wx Challenge!  Matt and I are appreciative of everyone’s participation last week and hope we see even more of you this week (we’re talking to you, east coasters…we saw you sitting out KORD…don’t be afraid…). This week, we’re forecasting for Providence, RI—the closest climatology stationContinue reading “KPVD CLIMATOLOGY”

AVERAGE FORECAST ERRORS–ORD

May 23, 2020 By:  Winn Soldani Congratulations to all of you who participated in the first week of the CYC Weather challenge.  Matt and I really appreciate your enthusiasm and effort! Results for the week are pending, but I took a moment to look at a few trends I noticed across a few variables.  HopefullyContinue reading “AVERAGE FORECAST ERRORS–ORD”

The forecast funnel

By Chris Bedford – Sailing Weather Service Chris Bedford is the world’s leading meteorologist for the sport of sailing. Chris currently serves as the meteorologist for American Magic, the New York Yacht Club entry in the 36th America’s Cup. With over thirty years of experience in marine and coastal meteorology, Chris has consulted with thousandsContinue reading “The forecast funnel”

A Philosophy of Weather Forecasting

By Chris Bedford, Sailing Weather Service Chris Bedford is the world’s leading meteorologist for the sport of sailing. Chris currently serves as the meteorologist for American Magic, the New York Yacht Club entry in the 36th America’s Cup. With over thirty years of experience in marine and coastal meteorology, Chris has consulted with thousands ofContinue reading “A Philosophy of Weather Forecasting”

Model grid interpolations – an aid to precipitation forecasting

By Matt Gallagher Forecasting precipitation, as you’ve seen, is really challenging when attempting to forecast for a specific point. Forecasts are generally good for an area – e.g. it’s likely to rain in Chicago on a given day with a 70% probability, but that doesn’t really help with coming up with a forecast for aContinue reading “Model grid interpolations – an aid to precipitation forecasting”

Verifying the May 18 forecast

We’re working on verifying the forecast and will post results and standings this afternoon, but for those of you who want to check yourselves, the data is online. Each NWS Office has a slightly different layout for their webpage, but in general you can find “text products” somewhere on the page. For Chicago NWS (KLOT),Continue reading “Verifying the May 18 forecast”